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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Taila Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1477

Molly McCannvsTaila SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Taila Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsTaila Santos: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Taila Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at -152 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Taila Santos has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Taila Santos has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Taila Santos

Blue Corner

-152

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1491

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

157.48 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Taila SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Gillian Robertson · Dec 20

vs Roxanne Modafferi · Sep 21

SUBvs Joanne Wood · Nov 21

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 22

vs Erin Blanchfield · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricTaila Santos

5.28

Strikes / min

3.39

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

62%

Strike defense

58%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

2.00

38%

Takedown defense

86%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannTaila Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Taila Santos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.5|Blue -14.5

Recent Form

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -258.0|Blue +258.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetTaila Santos

By target zone

32% acc · 52%

Head

27% acc · 42%

76% acc · 27%

Body

58% acc · 37%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

71% acc · 21%

By position

45% acc · 90%

Distance

30% acc · 60%

50% acc · 10%

Clinch

92% acc · 21%

Ground

65% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Taila Santos rounds

Round 1Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:26

23Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 2Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:30

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:18Control

Round 3Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 106

Sig Strikes

57 / 143

42.7%

Sig Str %

39.7%

67 / 125

Total Strikes

75 / 164

0 / 4

TDs

5 / 7

TD %

72%

Sub Att

Rev

0:56

Ctrl Time

7:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Taila Santos	23 / 54	30 / 62	2 / 3	0
1	Molly McCann	25 / 45	34 / 54	0 / 2	0
2	Taila Santos	14 / 33	19 / 40	2 / 2	1
2	Molly McCann	8 / 24	13 / 29	0 / 2	0
3	Taila Santos	20 / 56	26 / 62	1 / 2	0
3	Molly McCann	15 / 37	20 / 42	0 / 0	0

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Taila Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7