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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Molly McCann won · U-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1459
Priscila Cachoeira

Molly McCannvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 16, 2019London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Molly McCann has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Priscila Cachoeira has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann
Red Corner
VS
Priscila Cachoeira
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1491
Elo
1459
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
157.48 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23
W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24
L
vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24
L
SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25
latest
Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24
W
KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25
L
KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25
L
vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26
L
SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricPriscila Cachoeira
5.28
Strikes / min
4.43
4.65
Strikes absorbed / min
7.60
62%
Strike defense
45%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.25
38%
Takedown defense
69%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.63Δ 3.80 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1485Strikes10.0 vs 2.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Molly McCannPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Molly McCann(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.2|Blue -32.2
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -113.0|Blue +113.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

81
49% acc · 76%
Head
54
26% acc · 72%
13
81% acc · 12%
Body
15
71% acc · 20%
13
93% acc · 12%
Leg
6
86% acc · 8%

By position

90
53% acc · 84%
Distance
68
31% acc · 91%
12
57% acc · 11%
Clinch
7
58% acc · 9%
5
71% acc · 5%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Molly McCann rounds
0
even
0
Priscila Cachoeira rounds
Round 1Molly McCann edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control1:07
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Molly McCann edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Molly McCann edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns1
Control0:07
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
107 / 197
Sig Strikes
75 / 234
53.7%
Sig Str %
32%
110 / 200
Total Strikes
77 / 238
2 / 11
TDs
0 / 0
25%
TD %
2
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
1:14
Ctrl Time
1:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Priscila Cachoeira19 / 5219 / 530 / 00
1Molly McCann26 / 5329 / 561 / 42
2Priscila Cachoeira35 / 9836 / 1000 / 00
2Molly McCann43 / 7843 / 780 / 50
3Priscila Cachoeira21 / 8422 / 850 / 00
3Molly McCann38 / 6638 / 661 / 20

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights14

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14