Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Lara Procopio won · U-DEC

Elo1491

Elo1493

Molly McCannvsLara ProcopioUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Saturday, February 6, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Lara Procopio won

U-DEC

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsLara Procopio: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Lara Procopio wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at -177 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Molly McCann has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Lara Procopio has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Lara Procopio

Blue Corner

-177

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1491

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

157.48 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Lara ProcopioL2 streak

oldest →

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 19

SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricLara Procopio

5.28

Strikes / min

5.64

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

6.50

62%

Strike defense

47%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

3.15

38%

Takedown defense

50%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannLara Procopio

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Lara Procopio(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -319.0|Blue +319.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetLara Procopio

By target zone

68% acc · 46%

Head

51% acc · 56%

93% acc · 35%

Body

92% acc · 31%

88% acc · 19%

Leg

71% acc · 14%

By position

75% acc · 57%

Distance

49% acc · 53%

92% acc · 30%

Clinch

82% acc · 25%

71% acc · 14%

Ground

100% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Lara Procopio rounds

Round 1Lara Procopio edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:23

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:52Control

Round 2Lara Procopio edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:12

14Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

4:06Control

Round 3Lara Procopio edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:15

9Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 47

Sig Strikes

36 / 58

80%

Sig Str %

64.3%

71 / 83

Total Strikes

85 / 113

0 / 0

TDs

7 / 9

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:50

Ctrl Time

11:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Lara Procopio	13 / 25	27 / 40	1 / 2	0
1	Molly McCann	14 / 19	21 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Lara Procopio	14 / 21	27 / 34	3 / 4	0
2	Molly McCann	14 / 18	35 / 41	0 / 0	1
3	Lara Procopio	9 / 12	31 / 39	3 / 3	1
3	Molly McCann	9 / 10	15 / 16	0 / 0	0

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Lara Procopio

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3