Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Molly McCann won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1491

Elo1476

Molly McCannvsHannah GoldyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Saturday, July 23, 2022London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:52

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsHannah Goldy: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(68.1%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at -460 American odds

+$22 profit

$122 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hannah Goldy threatens submissions; Molly McCann has lost 57% of fights by sub.
Molly McCann has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Hannah Goldy has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Hannah Goldy

Blue Corner

-460

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+370

(21%)

1491

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

157.48 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Hannah Goldy

oldest →

vs Miranda Granger · Aug 19

vs Diana Belbita · Jul 21

SUBvs Emily Whitmire · Sep 21

vs Mizuki · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricHannah Goldy

5.28

Strikes / min

5.19

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.67

62%

Strike defense

50%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.66

38%

Takedown defense

54%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking+0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannHannah Goldy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Hannah Goldy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.7|Blue -15.7

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetHannah Goldy

By target zone

43% acc · 83%

Head

19% acc · 56%

60% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 33%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

25% acc · 11%

By position

42% acc · 79%

Distance

22% acc · 67%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

50% acc · 33%

60% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Hannah Goldy rounds

Round 1Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 52

Sig Strikes

9 / 33

46%

Sig Str %

27%

29 / 57

Total Strikes

9 / 33

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 5

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

1:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Hannah Goldy	9 / 33	9 / 33	0 / 5	0
1	Molly McCann	24 / 52	29 / 57	0 / 1	0

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Hannah Goldy

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights5