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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Molly McCann won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1485

Molly McCannvsDiana BelbitaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · Friday, October 18, 2019Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsDiana Belbita: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(62.8%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at -640 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diana Belbita enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Molly McCann has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Diana Belbita has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Diana Belbita has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Diana Belbita

Blue Corner

-640

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+470

(18%)

1491

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Diana BelbitaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22

vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 23

SUBvs Molly McCann · Feb 24

SUBvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricDiana Belbita

5.28

Strikes / min

6.45

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

62%

Strike defense

51%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.86

38%

Takedown defense

64%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannDiana Belbita

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Diana Belbita(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.9|Blue -5.9

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetDiana Belbita

By target zone

43% acc · 76%

Head

29% acc · 59%

71% acc · 15%

Body

74% acc · 23%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

85% acc · 17%

By position

41% acc · 65%

Distance

35% acc · 78%

57% acc · 7%

Clinch

62% acc · 18%

68% acc · 28%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Diana Belbita rounds

Round 1Diana Belbita edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns2

Control0:41

46Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns3

Control2:52

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:55Control

Round 3Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:06

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

113 / 238

Sig Strikes

98 / 252

49%

Sig Str %

43.3%

126 / 252

Total Strikes

104 / 260

5 / 14

TDs

1 / 1

27.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:39

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Diana Belbita	46 / 112	47 / 114	1 / 1	0
1	Molly McCann	36 / 83	36 / 83	2 / 4	0
2	Diana Belbita	18 / 31	23 / 37	0 / 0	0
2	Molly McCann	38 / 60	50 / 73	3 / 9	1
3	Diana Belbita	34 / 109	34 / 109	0 / 0	0
3	Molly McCann	39 / 95	40 / 96	0 / 1	0

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Diana Belbita

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8