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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Molly McCann won · SUB R1

Elo1491

Elo1485

Molly McCannvsDiana BelbitaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:59

Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsDiana Belbita: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Molly McCann enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Molly McCann has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Diana Belbita has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Diana Belbita has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Molly McCann

Red Corner

Diana Belbita

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Molly McCannL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Hannah Goldy · Jul 22

SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22

SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24

SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25

latest

Diana BelbitaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Hannah Goldy · Jul 21

vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22

vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 23

SUBvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Molly McCannMetricDiana Belbita

5.28

Strikes / min

6.45

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

62%

Strike defense

51%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.86

38%

Takedown defense

64%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Molly McCannDiana Belbita

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Molly McCann(10 fights)Diana Belbita(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.9|Blue -5.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Molly McCannTargetDiana Belbita

By target zone

38% acc · 64%

Head

20% acc · 31%

74% acc · 33%

Body

57% acc · 45%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

88% acc · 24%

By position

45% acc · 81%

Distance

33% acc · 83%

50% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

55% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Molly McCann rounds

even

Diana Belbita rounds

Round 1Molly McCann edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns2

Control1:08

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 91

Sig Strikes

29 / 77

46%

Sig Str %

37%

43 / 92

Total Strikes

29 / 77

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Diana Belbita	29 / 77	29 / 77	0 / 0	0
1	Molly McCann	42 / 91	43 / 92	2 / 2	1

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights14

Diana Belbita

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8