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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Mick Parkin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1515

Mohammed UsmanvsMick ParkinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Saturday, March 23, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mick Parkin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMohammed Usman: Well-roundedvsMick Parkin: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mick Parkin wins(79.5%)

Actual result: Mick Parkin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mohammed Usman has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mohammed Usman

Red Corner

Mick Parkin

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1506

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'4"

200.66 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mohammed Usman

oldest →

KOvs Zac Pauga · Aug 22

vs Junior Tafa · Apr 23

vs Jake Collier · Sep 23

vs Thomas Petersen · Jul 24

vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Jun 25

latest

Mick Parkin

oldest →

vs Jamal Pogues · Jul 23

vs Caio Machado · Nov 23

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 24

vs Marcin Tybura · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mohammed UsmanMetricMick Parkin

3.85

Strikes / min

4.70

4.27

Strikes absorbed / min

4.13

51%

Strike defense

58%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

1.38

66%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mohammed UsmanMick Parkin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mohammed Usman(6 fights)Mick Parkin(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.7|Blue +8.7

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mohammed UsmanTargetMick Parkin

By target zone

23% acc · 46%

Head

34% acc · 51%

58% acc · 53%

Body

100% acc · 6%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

84% acc · 43%

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

48% acc · 99%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mohammed Usman rounds

even

Mick Parkin rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Mick Parkin edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mick Parkin edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 167

Sig Strikes

72 / 150

33.7%

Sig Str %

46.7%

57 / 168

Total Strikes

72 / 150

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mick Parkin	16 / 40	16 / 40	0 / 0
1	Mohammed Usman	15 / 48	15 / 48	0 / 0
2	Mick Parkin	20 / 41	20 / 41	0 / 0
2	Mohammed Usman	18 / 51	18 / 51	0 / 0
3	Mick Parkin	36 / 69	36 / 69	0 / 0
3	Mohammed Usman	24 / 68	24 / 69	0 / 0

Mohammed Usman

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights6

Mick Parkin

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights5