← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Johnny Walker won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1437

Elo1495

Misha CirkunovvsJohnny WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Johnny Walker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:36

Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsJohnny Walker: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Johnny Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Misha Cirkunov at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Misha Cirkunov has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Misha Cirkunov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Misha Cirkunov has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Johnny Walker has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Misha Cirkunov

Red Corner

Johnny Walker

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1437

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'6"

195.58 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Misha CirkunovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19

KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21

SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22

latest

Johnny Walker

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · May 23

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25

DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Misha CirkunovMetricJohnny Walker

3.86

Strikes / min

3.90

3.06

Strikes absorbed / min

2.99

57%

Strike defense

46%

4.15

TDs / 15 min

0.36

76%

Takedown defense

57%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Misha CirkunovJohnny Walker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Johnny Walker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -57.6|Blue +57.6

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Misha CirkunovTargetJohnny Walker

By target zone

0% acc

Head

50% acc · 100%

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 25%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 75%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Misha Cirkunov rounds

even

Johnny Walker rounds

Round 1Johnny Walker edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 2

Sig Strikes

4 / 8

50%

Sig Str %

50%

1 / 2

Total Strikes

4 / 8

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Walker	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Misha Cirkunov	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0	0

Misha Cirkunov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights13

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights14