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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Alonzo Menifield won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1437

Elo1525

Misha CirkunovvsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Saturday, October 15, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alonzo Menifield won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:28

Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Alonzo Menifield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Misha Cirkunov at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Misha Cirkunov

Red Corner

Alonzo Menifield

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1437

Elo

1525

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Misha CirkunovL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Mar 19

SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19

KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21

SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22

latest

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Misha CirkunovMetricAlonzo Menifield

3.86

Strikes / min

3.77

3.06

Strikes absorbed / min

3.81

57%

Strike defense

50%

4.15

TDs / 15 min

0.50

76%

Takedown defense

78%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Misha CirkunovAlonzo Menifield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -88.3|Blue +88.3

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Misha CirkunovTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

40% acc · 40%

Head

40% acc · 75%

100% acc · 40%

Body

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 60%

Distance

33% acc · 50%

100% acc · 40%

Clinch

50% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Misha Cirkunov rounds

even

Alonzo Menifield rounds

Round 1Alonzo Menifield edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 8

Sig Strikes

8 / 17

62%

Sig Str %

47%

6 / 9

Total Strikes

8 / 17

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alonzo Menifield	8 / 17	8 / 17	0 / 0	0
1	Misha Cirkunov	5 / 8	6 / 9	0 / 4	0

Misha Cirkunov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights13

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17