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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mirsad Bektic won · U-DEC R3
Elo1389
Elo1355

Mirsad BekticvsPaul RedmondUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · Saturday, January 24, 2015Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Mirsad Bektic won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mirsad Bektic wins(71.0%)

Actual result: Mirsad Bektic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mirsad Bektic at -925 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mirsad Bektic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mirsad Bektic has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Mirsad Bektic has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mirsad Bektic
Red Corner
VS
Paul Redmond
Blue Corner
-925
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+725
(12%)
1389
Elo
1355
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mirsad BekticL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Jan 18
W
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 18
L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Jul 19
L
vs Dan Ige · Feb 20
L
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Sep 20
latest
Paul Redmond
oldest →
L
KOvs Rob Whiteford · Jul 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mirsad BekticMetricPaul Redmond
2.43
Strikes / min
0.72
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
57%
Strike defense
41%
3.98
TDs / 15 min
0.00
92%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.63Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-2.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes27.0 vs —Takedowns2.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Mirsad BekticPaul Redmond

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Mirsad Bektic(10 fights)Paul Redmond(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +34.1|Blue -34.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mirsad BekticTargetPaul Redmond

By target zone

33
60% acc · 97%
Head
1
17% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 3%
Body
1
100% acc · 50%
0
Leg
0

By position

5
31% acc · 15%
Distance
2
29% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
29
73% acc · 85%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Mirsad Bektic rounds
0
even
0
Paul Redmond rounds
Round 1Mirsad Bektic edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control4:30
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mirsad Bektic edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control4:28
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mirsad Bektic edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control4:50
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
34 / 56
Sig Strikes
2 / 7
60.7%
Sig Str %
29%
154 / 194
Total Strikes
16 / 22
2 / 3
TDs
0 / 2
75%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
13:48
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Paul Redmond1 / 48 / 110 / 10
1Mirsad Bektic15 / 2150 / 671 / 10
2Paul Redmond1 / 35 / 70 / 10
2Mirsad Bektic9 / 2043 / 571 / 20
3Paul Redmond0 / 03 / 40 / 00
3Mirsad Bektic10 / 1561 / 700 / 00

Mirsad Bektic

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10

Paul Redmond

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2