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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dan Ige won · S-DEC R3
Elo1389
Elo1485
Dan Ige

Mirsad BekticvsDan IgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Saturday, February 8, 2020Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMirsad Bektic: WrestlervsDan Ige: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mirsad Bektic has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mirsad Bektic
Red Corner
VS
Dan Ige
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1389
Elo
1485
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mirsad BekticL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 17
W
KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Jan 18
W
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 18
L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Jul 19
L
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Sep 20
latest
Dan IgeL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24
L
vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24
W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25
L
vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25
L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mirsad BekticMetricDan Ige
2.43
Strikes / min
3.60
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
57%
Strike defense
56%
3.98
TDs / 15 min
0.93
92%
Takedown defense
56%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.63evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1559 vs 1548Strikes2.9 vs 4.2Takedowns3.4 vs 2.7Sub Atts0.40 vs 1.00Form-0.2 vs 0.8
Mirsad BekticDan Ige

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Mirsad Bektic(10 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -96.2|Blue +96.2
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mirsad BekticTargetDan Ige

By target zone

14
25% acc · 82%
Head
27
39% acc · 63%
3
75% acc · 18%
Body
15
88% acc · 35%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 2%

By position

14
26% acc · 82%
Distance
28
41% acc · 65%
3
50% acc · 18%
Clinch
12
75% acc · 28%
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mirsad Bektic rounds
1
even
1
Dan Ige rounds
Round 1Dan Ige edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:02
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 2Mirsad Bektic edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control4:31
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:59
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
17 / 60
Sig Strikes
43 / 88
29%
Sig Str %
48%
29 / 74
Total Strikes
64 / 117
3 / 10
TDs
1 / 2
30.3%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:32
Ctrl Time
0:53

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dan Ige26 / 4530 / 521 / 20
1Mirsad Bektic7 / 269 / 280 / 30
2Dan Ige4 / 813 / 190 / 00
2Mirsad Bektic5 / 1311 / 192 / 31
3Dan Ige13 / 3521 / 460 / 00
3Mirsad Bektic5 / 219 / 271 / 40

Mirsad Bektic

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights21