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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · SUB R3

Elo1513

Elo1459

Miranda MaverickvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2023Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:11

Style matchupMiranda Maverick: WrestlervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Miranda Maverick wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Miranda Maverick has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Priscila Cachoeira has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Miranda Maverick

Red Corner

Priscila Cachoeira

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1513

Elo

1459

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jun 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miranda MaverickMetricPriscila Cachoeira

3.22

Strikes / min

4.43

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

7.60

61%

Strike defense

45%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

0.25

45%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97Δ 4.14 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miranda MaverickPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miranda Maverick(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +53.8|Blue -53.8

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -301.0|Blue +301.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miranda MaverickTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

62% acc · 64%

Head

39% acc · 64%

100% acc · 22%

Body

67% acc · 18%

83% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

55% acc · 44%

Distance

45% acc · 91%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

90% acc · 50%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miranda Maverick rounds

even

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control3:29

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:48

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:37

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 51

Sig Strikes

11 / 23

74%

Sig Str %

52.3%

105 / 132

Total Strikes

13 / 26

3 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

40%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:54

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Priscila Cachoeira	4 / 9	5 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Miranda Maverick	16 / 25	46 / 59	1 / 2	0
2	Priscila Cachoeira	3 / 9	4 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Miranda Maverick	11 / 16	43 / 56	1 / 5	0
3	Priscila Cachoeira	4 / 5	4 / 6	0 / 0	0
3	Miranda Maverick	9 / 10	16 / 17	1 / 2	1

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14