← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Erin Blanchfield won · U-DEC R3

Elo1513

Elo1529

Miranda MaverickvsErin BlanchfieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Saturday, December 11, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Erin Blanchfield won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiranda Maverick: WrestlervsErin Blanchfield: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(76.3%)

Actual result: Erin Blanchfield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erin Blanchfield at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Erin Blanchfield has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Miranda Maverick

Red Corner

Erin Blanchfield

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1513

Elo

1529

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Erin BlanchfieldW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23

vs Taila Santos · Aug 23

vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24

SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miranda MaverickMetricErin Blanchfield

3.22

Strikes / min

5.24

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

61%

Strike defense

58%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

1.96

45%

Takedown defense

78%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97evenly matched on net striking+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miranda MaverickErin Blanchfield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miranda Maverick(10 fights)Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.6|Blue +15.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miranda MaverickTargetErin Blanchfield

By target zone

19% acc · 48%

Head

60% acc · 76%

71% acc · 24%

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

32% acc · 90%

Distance

51% acc · 41%

40% acc · 10%

Clinch

80% acc · 9%

Ground

85% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miranda Maverick rounds

even

Erin Blanchfield rounds

Round 1Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

4:04Control

Round 2Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:18Control

Round 3Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:06

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 65

Sig Strikes

46 / 69

32.3%

Sig Str %

64%

42 / 88

Total Strikes

96 / 128

0 / 1

TDs

7 / 8

TD %

88.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

12:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Erin Blanchfield	8 / 16	20 / 31	4 / 4	0
1	Miranda Maverick	6 / 17	13 / 24	0 / 0	0
2	Erin Blanchfield	24 / 33	38 / 50	2 / 3	1
2	Miranda Maverick	8 / 24	13 / 30	0 / 0	0
3	Erin Blanchfield	14 / 20	38 / 47	1 / 1	0
3	Miranda Maverick	7 / 24	16 / 34	0 / 1	0

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Erin Blanchfield

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9