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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · U-DEC R3

Elo1513

Elo1542

Miranda MaverickvsDione BarbosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Saturday, July 20, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiranda Maverick: WrestlervsDione Barbosa: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Miranda Maverick wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dione Barbosa has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Miranda Maverick

Red Corner

Dione Barbosa

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1513

Elo

1542

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jun 23

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Dione BarbosaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Ernesta Kareckaite · May 24

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25

vs Karine Silva · Aug 25

DECvs Melissa Gatto · Apr 26

SUBvs Anna Melisano · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miranda MaverickMetricDione Barbosa

3.22

Strikes / min

2.21

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

2.40

61%

Strike defense

64%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

2.40

45%

Takedown defense

63%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miranda MaverickDione Barbosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miranda Maverick(10 fights)Dione Barbosa(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -29.1|Blue +29.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miranda MaverickTargetDione Barbosa

By target zone

16% acc · 30%

Head

40% acc · 90%

47% acc · 23%

Body

25% acc · 5%

78% acc · 47%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

30% acc · 77%

Distance

38% acc · 90%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

56% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miranda Maverick rounds

even

Dione Barbosa rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control2:02

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control2:26

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 3Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control3:39

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 88

Sig Strikes

21 / 52

35.3%

Sig Str %

40.7%

102 / 188

Total Strikes

47 / 85

2 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

44.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

8:07

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dione Barbosa	7 / 21	14 / 29	0 / 0	0
1	Miranda Maverick	16 / 45	31 / 67	1 / 1	0
2	Dione Barbosa	7 / 16	11 / 20	1 / 1	1
2	Miranda Maverick	7 / 28	30 / 60	1 / 3	0
3	Dione Barbosa	7 / 15	22 / 36	0 / 1	0
3	Miranda Maverick	7 / 15	41 / 61	0 / 1	0

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Dione Barbosa

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7