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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Miranda Granger won · U-DEC R3
Elo1431
Miranda Granger
Elo1476

Miranda GrangervsHannah GoldyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Saturday, August 3, 2019Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Granger won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Hannah Goldy wins(66.0%)

Actual result: Miranda Granger wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hannah Goldy at -115 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Miranda Granger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Hannah Goldy threatens submissions; Miranda Granger has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Hannah Goldy has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Miranda Granger has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Miranda Granger
Red Corner
VS
Hannah Goldy
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
1431
Elo
1476
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miranda GrangerL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Dec 19
L
vs Ashley Yoder · Nov 20
L
SUBvs Cory McKenna · Aug 22
latest
Hannah GoldyL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Diana Belbita · Jul 21
W
SUBvs Emily Whitmire · Sep 21
L
KOvs Molly McCann · Jul 22
L
vs Mizuki · Sep 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miranda GrangerMetricHannah Goldy
2.79
Strikes / min
5.19
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.66
33%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22evenly matched on net striking+0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes3.5 vs 6.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Miranda GrangerHannah Goldy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Miranda Granger(4 fights)Hannah Goldy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -44.5|Blue +44.5
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miranda GrangerTargetHannah Goldy

By target zone

31
34% acc · 51%
Head
20
20% acc · 36%
8
67% acc · 13%
Body
20
59% acc · 36%
22
55% acc · 36%
Leg
15
50% acc · 27%

By position

47
40% acc · 77%
Distance
43
30% acc · 78%
14
54% acc · 23%
Clinch
12
57% acc · 22%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Miranda Granger rounds
1
even
1
Hannah Goldy rounds
Round 1Hannah Goldy edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 2Miranda Granger edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
61 / 143
Sig Strikes
55 / 166
42%
Sig Str %
34%
77 / 162
Total Strikes
58 / 170
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
1:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hannah Goldy22 / 4625 / 500 / 00
1Miranda Granger21 / 4837 / 670 / 00
2Hannah Goldy15 / 4915 / 490 / 00
2Miranda Granger23 / 4823 / 480 / 00
3Hannah Goldy18 / 7118 / 710 / 00
3Miranda Granger17 / 4717 / 470 / 00

Miranda Granger

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4

Hannah Goldy

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights5