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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Marcos won · SUB R2

Elo1479

Elo1526

Miles JohnsvsDaniel MarcosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Saturday, November 8, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Marcos won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:23

Style matchupMiles Johns: Well-roundedvsDaniel Marcos: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Daniel Marcos wins(74.8%)

Actual result: Daniel Marcos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Marcos at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Miles Johns

Red Corner

Daniel Marcos

Blue Corner

+152

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1479

Elo

1526

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miles JohnsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Vince Morales · Nov 22

vs Cody Gibson · Mar 24

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24

vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25

latest

Daniel Marcos

oldest →

KOvs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 23

vs Davey Grant · Jul 23

vs John Castaneda · Jun 24

vs Adrian Yanez · Dec 24

vs Montel Jackson · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miles JohnsMetricDaniel Marcos

3.36

Strikes / min

4.90

2.99

Strikes absorbed / min

3.79

65%

Strike defense

61%

1.22

TDs / 15 min

1.35

77%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miles JohnsDaniel Marcos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miles Johns(10 fights)Daniel Marcos(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -46.7|Blue +46.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miles JohnsTargetDaniel Marcos

By target zone

47% acc · 75%

Head

45% acc · 56%

60% acc · 11%

Body

80% acc · 30%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

57% acc · 100%

Distance

41% acc · 52%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miles Johns rounds

even

Daniel Marcos rounds

Round 1Daniel Marcos edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:19

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 2Daniel Marcos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:15

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 54

Sig Strikes

27 / 47

49%

Sig Str %

57%

33 / 61

Total Strikes

42 / 69

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 4

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

1:34

Ctrl Time

3:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Daniel Marcos	12 / 21	25 / 35	1 / 1	0
1	Miles Johns	8 / 20	13 / 25	0 / 1	0
2	Daniel Marcos	15 / 26	17 / 34	2 / 3	1
2	Miles Johns	20 / 34	20 / 36	0 / 0	0

Miles Johns

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Daniel Marcos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6