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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Miles Johns won · U-DEC R3
Elo1479
Miles Johns
Elo1458
Cody Gibson

Miles JohnsvsCody GibsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Saturday, March 23, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Miles Johns won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiles Johns: Well-roundedvsCody Gibson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Miles Johns wins(78.7%)

Actual result: Miles Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miles Johns at -142 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Miles Johns
Red Corner
VS
Cody Gibson
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1479
Elo
1458
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Vince Morales · Nov 22
W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24
L
vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24
L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25
L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25
latest
Cody GibsonL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25
L
KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25
L
SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miles JohnsMetricCody Gibson
3.36
Strikes / min
3.63
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
65%
Strike defense
57%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
2.12
77%
Takedown defense
69%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1528 vs 1454Strikes3.3 vs 4.0Takedowns1.0 vs 1.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.40Form0.5 vs -1.0
Miles JohnsCody Gibson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Miles Johns(10 fights)Cody Gibson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +21.5|Blue -21.5
Recent Form
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miles JohnsTargetCody Gibson

By target zone

18
27% acc · 72%
Head
9
23% acc · 50%
5
56% acc · 20%
Body
4
24% acc · 22%
2
50% acc · 8%
Leg
5
83% acc · 28%

By position

20
28% acc · 80%
Distance
16
27% acc · 89%
4
67% acc · 16%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 11%
1
100% acc · 4%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Miles Johns rounds
0
even
0
Cody Gibson rounds
Round 1Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:15
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:54
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:36Control
Round 3Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control2:20
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
25 / 79
Sig Strikes
18 / 62
32.3%
Sig Str %
26.7%
64 / 137
Total Strikes
52 / 108
2 / 8
TDs
1 / 7
23.3%
TD %
8.3%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
6:29
Ctrl Time
1:55

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cody Gibson4 / 2216 / 390 / 20
1Miles Johns5 / 1914 / 290 / 10
2Cody Gibson2 / 812 / 211 / 40
2Miles Johns11 / 2325 / 431 / 20
3Cody Gibson12 / 3224 / 480 / 10
3Miles Johns9 / 3725 / 651 / 50

Miles Johns

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11