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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Miles Johns won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1479

Elo1493

Miles JohnsvsAnderson Dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Saturday, August 7, 2021Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Miles Johns won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:16

Style matchupMiles Johns: Well-roundedvsAnderson Dos Santos: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Miles Johns wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Miles Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miles Johns at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anderson Dos Santos threatens submissions; Miles Johns has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Miles Johns has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Miles Johns

Red Corner

Anderson Dos Santos

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1479

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miles JohnsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Cody Gibson · Mar 24

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24

vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25

SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25

latest

Anderson Dos Santos

oldest →

vs Nad Narimani · Nov 18

vs Andre Ewell · Jun 19

SUBvs Martin Day · Nov 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miles JohnsMetricAnderson Dos Santos

3.36

Strikes / min

2.70

2.99

Strikes absorbed / min

5.37

65%

Strike defense

49%

1.22

TDs / 15 min

0.98

77%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap-2.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miles JohnsAnderson Dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miles Johns(10 fights)Anderson Dos Santos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.1|Blue +14.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miles JohnsTargetAnderson Dos Santos

By target zone

60% acc · 68%

Head

16% acc · 75%

92% acc · 14%

Body

33% acc · 9%

94% acc · 19%

Leg

83% acc · 16%

By position

67% acc · 98%

Distance

19% acc · 97%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miles Johns rounds

even

Anderson Dos Santos rounds

Round 1Miles Johns edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Miles Johns edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 3Miles Johns edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 118

Sig Strikes

32 / 164

68.7%

Sig Str %

22.7%

80 / 118

Total Strikes

33 / 165

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 5

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anderson Dos Santos	9 / 65	9 / 65	0 / 1
1	Miles Johns	30 / 50	30 / 50	0 / 0
2	Anderson Dos Santos	13 / 72	14 / 73	0 / 4
2	Miles Johns	36 / 49	36 / 49	0 / 0
3	Anderson Dos Santos	10 / 27	10 / 27	0 / 0
3	Miles Johns	14 / 19	14 / 19	0 / 0

Miles Johns

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Anderson Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4