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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zabit Magomedsharipov won · SUB R2

Elo1366

Elo1492

Mike SantiagovsZabit MagomedsharipovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Zabit Magomedsharipov won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:22

Style matchupMike Santiago: WrestlervsZabit Magomedsharipov: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Zabit Magomedsharipov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Zabit Magomedsharipov threatens submissions; Mike Santiago has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Zabit Magomedsharipov has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Santiago

Red Corner

Zabit Magomedsharipov

Blue Corner

+325

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-400

(80%)

1366

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

175.26 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike SantiagoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Mads Burnell · Jan 18

KOvs Dan Ige · Jun 18

latest

Zabit MagomedsharipovW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sheymon Moraes · Nov 17

vs Kyle Bochniak · Apr 18

SUBvs Brandon Davis · Sep 18

vs Jeremy Stephens · Mar 19

vs Calvin Kattar · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike SantiagoMetricZabit Magomedsharipov

3.44

Strikes / min

4.89

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

36%

Strike defense

64%

2.66

TDs / 15 min

5.22

53%

Takedown defense

77%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.14Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap+1.89

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Santiago(3 fights)Zabit Magomedsharipov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -126.3|Blue +126.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike SantiagoTargetZabit Magomedsharipov

By target zone

15% acc · 25%

Head

65% acc · 76%

50% acc · 29%

Body

80% acc · 18%

85% acc · 46%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

22% acc · 42%

Distance

61% acc · 56%

67% acc · 58%

Clinch

73% acc · 18%

Ground

92% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Santiago rounds

even

Zabit Magomedsharipov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control2:16

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Zabit Magomedsharipov edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:09

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 67

Sig Strikes

45 / 65

29.5%

Sig Str %

69.5%

32 / 77

Total Strikes

70 / 97

2 / 7

TDs

1 / 3

58%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:25

Ctrl Time

4:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zabit Magomedsharipov	27 / 40	40 / 54	0 / 2	0
1	Mike Santiago	21 / 51	24 / 54	1 / 6	0
2	Zabit Magomedsharipov	18 / 25	30 / 43	1 / 1	2
2	Mike Santiago	3 / 16	8 / 23	1 / 1	0

Mike Santiago

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3

Zabit Magomedsharipov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6