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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1366

Elo1485

Mike SantiagovsDan IgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:50

Style matchupMike Santiago: WrestlervsDan Ige: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mike Santiago wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Santiago at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Ige has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Santiago

Red Corner

Dan Ige

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1366

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike SantiagoL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 17

vs Mads Burnell · Jan 18

latest

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike SantiagoMetricDan Ige

3.44

Strikes / min

3.60

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

36%

Strike defense

56%

2.66

TDs / 15 min

0.93

53%

Takedown defense

56%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.14evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike SantiagoDan Ige

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Santiago(3 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.5|Blue +119.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike SantiagoTargetDan Ige

By target zone

0% acc

Head

93% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

67% acc · 8%

Ground

95% acc · 84%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Santiago rounds

even

Dan Ige rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 1

Sig Strikes

25 / 27

Sig Str %

92%

0 / 1

Total Strikes

29 / 32

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Ige	25 / 27	29 / 32	1 / 1	0
1	Mike Santiago	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0

Mike Santiago

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21