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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shawn Jordan won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1352

Elo1490

Mike RussowvsShawn JordanUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · Saturday, January 26, 2013Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Shawn Jordan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:48

Style matchupMike Russow: WrestlervsShawn Jordan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mike Russow wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Shawn Jordan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Russow at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Russow is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Shawn Jordan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Shawn Jordan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Mike Russow has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Mike Russow has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Shawn Jordan has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shawn Jordan (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mike Russow

Red Corner

Shawn Jordan

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike Russow

oldest →

KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10

KOvs Jon Madsen · Mar 11

vs Jon Olav Einemo · Jan 12

KOvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 12

latest

Shawn Jordan

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14

KOvs Jack May · Aug 14

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15

vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike RussowMetricShawn Jordan

1.55

Strikes / min

2.87

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.30

59%

Strike defense

47%

4.66

TDs / 15 min

1.97

Takedown defense

76%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike RussowShawn Jordan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Russow(5 fights)Shawn Jordan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.6|Blue +138.6

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike RussowTargetShawn Jordan

By target zone

56% acc · 100%

Head

57% acc · 93%

Body

75% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

56% acc · 60%

Distance

31% acc · 26%

56% acc · 40%

Clinch

69% acc · 21%

Ground

96% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Russow rounds

even

Shawn Jordan rounds

Round 1Mike Russow edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control3:12

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Shawn Jordan edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:26

33Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 45

Sig Strikes

42 / 72

52.5%

Sig Str %

53%

29 / 51

Total Strikes

56 / 88

1 / 6

TDs

2 / 2

16%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:38

Ctrl Time

2:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Shawn Jordan	9 / 22	11 / 24	0 / 0
1	Mike Russow	19 / 32	23 / 38	1 / 6
2	Shawn Jordan	33 / 50	45 / 64	2 / 2
2	Mike Russow	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 0

Mike Russow

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Shawn Jordan

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10