← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Zak Ottow won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1364

Elo1491

Mike PylevsZak OttowUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zak Ottow won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:34

Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsZak Ottow: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Zak Ottow wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Zak Ottow wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zak Ottow at -330 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Zak Ottow has lost 75% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pyle

Red Corner

Zak Ottow

Blue Corner

+270

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-330

(77%)

1364

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PyleL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Mein · Aug 14

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

latest

Zak Ottow

oldest →

vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 17

KOvs Li Jingliang · Nov 17

KOvs Sage Northcutt · Jul 18

vs Dwight Grant · Dec 18

KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PyleMetricZak Ottow

2.74

Strikes / min

2.63

2.84

Strikes absorbed / min

2.73

60%

Strike defense

58%

1.80

TDs / 15 min

0.97

70%

Takedown defense

57%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PyleZak Ottow

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Pyle(10 fights)Zak Ottow(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -127.3|Blue +127.3

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +330.0|Blue -330.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PyleTargetZak Ottow

By target zone

7% acc · 25%

Head

45% acc · 82%

60% acc · 75%

Body

25% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

20% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 41%

Clinch

Ground

62% acc · 59%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Pyle rounds

even

Zak Ottow rounds

Round 1Zak Ottow edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 20

Sig Strikes

22 / 50

20%

Sig Str %

44%

4 / 20

Total Strikes

26 / 56

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zak Ottow	22 / 50	26 / 56	0 / 0	0
1	Mike Pyle	4 / 20	4 / 20	0 / 0	0

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16

Zak Ottow

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8