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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pyle won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1364

Elo1358

Mike PylevsSean SpencerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mike Pyle won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:25

Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsSean Spencer: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Pyle at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Sean Spencer (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pyle

Red Corner

Sean Spencer

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1364

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PyleL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Mein · Aug 14

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18

latest

Sean SpencerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Drew Dober · Nov 13

vs Alex Garcia · Mar 14

vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14

vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15

SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PyleMetricSean Spencer

2.74

Strikes / min

4.24

2.84

Strikes absorbed / min

4.02

60%

Strike defense

60%

1.80

TDs / 15 min

0.14

70%

Takedown defense

68%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PyleSean Spencer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Pyle(10 fights)Sean Spencer(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.3|Blue -6.3

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -125.0|Blue +125.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PyleTargetSean Spencer

By target zone

37% acc · 76%

Head

21% acc · 80%

56% acc · 7%

Body

64% acc · 18%

93% acc · 17%

Leg

33% acc · 2%

By position

37% acc · 76%

Distance

23% acc · 96%

73% acc · 21%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Pyle rounds

even

Sean Spencer rounds

Round 1Sean Spencer edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control0:18

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control1:30

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 177

Sig Strikes

50 / 208

42.3%

Sig Str %

24.3%

79 / 181

Total Strikes

54 / 213

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:53

Ctrl Time

0:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Spencer	21 / 78	24 / 82	0 / 0
1	Mike Pyle	22 / 58	22 / 58	0 / 1
2	Sean Spencer	15 / 84	15 / 84	0 / 0
2	Mike Pyle	26 / 65	26 / 65	1 / 1
3	Sean Spencer	14 / 46	15 / 47	0 / 0
3	Mike Pyle	27 / 54	31 / 58	0 / 2

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16

Sean Spencer

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8