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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Mein won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1364
Mike Pyle
Elo1491

Mike PylevsJordan MeinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Jordan Mein won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:12

Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsJordan Mein: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Jordan Mein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Pyle at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mike Pyle is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Jordan Mein has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pyle
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Mein
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
1364
Elo
1491
50
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PyleL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Colby Covington · May 15
W
KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16
L
KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16
L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16
L
KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18
latest
Jordan MeinW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Thiago Alves · Jan 15
L
vs Emil Meek · Dec 16
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17
W
vs Erick Silva · Dec 17
W
vs Alex Morono · Jul 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PyleMetricJordan Mein
2.74
Strikes / min
3.35
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
60%
Strike defense
69%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
1.56
70%
Takedown defense
66%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1593 vs 1519Strikes21.5 vs 33.0Takedowns1.1 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.85 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 0.6
Mike PyleJordan Mein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Mike Pyle(10 fights)Jordan Mein(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -127.0|Blue +127.0
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PyleTargetJordan Mein

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
9
64% acc · 90%
0
0% acc
Body
0
2
100% acc · 100%
Leg
1
100% acc · 10%

By position

2
25% acc · 100%
Distance
5
63% acc · 50%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
5
71% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Mike Pyle rounds
0
even
1
Jordan Mein rounds
Round 1Jordan Mein edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 8
Sig Strikes
10 / 15
25%
Sig Str %
66%
2 / 8
Total Strikes
10 / 15
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jordan Mein10 / 1510 / 150 / 00
1Mike Pyle2 / 82 / 80 / 20

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16

Jordan Mein

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9