← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pyle won · SUB R3

Elo1364

Elo1490

Mike PylevsJesse LennoxUFC Prediction Result

UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · Saturday, June 12, 2010Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Mike Pyle won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:44

Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsJesse Lennox: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Jesse Lennox wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jesse Lennox at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pyle

Red Corner

Jesse Lennox

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1364

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PyleL3 streak

oldest →

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18

latest

Jesse LennoxNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PyleMetricJesse Lennox

2.74

Strikes / min

2.69

2.84

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

60%

Strike defense

64%

1.80

TDs / 15 min

1.22

70%

Takedown defense

63%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PyleJesse Lennox

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Pyle(10 fights)Jesse Lennox(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -125.9|Blue +125.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PyleTargetJesse Lennox

By target zone

32% acc · 69%

Head

18% acc · 38%

100% acc · 6%

Body

40% acc · 27%

86% acc · 24%

Leg

81% acc · 35%

By position

39% acc · 84%

Distance

30% acc · 86%

33% acc · 4%

Clinch

33% acc · 5%

55% acc · 12%

Ground

33% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Pyle rounds

even

Jesse Lennox rounds

Round 1Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:30

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control2:19

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 122

Sig Strikes

37 / 120

40%

Sig Str %

28.3%

77 / 153

Total Strikes

45 / 130

0 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:49

Ctrl Time

2:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jesse Lennox	17 / 50	17 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Mike Pyle	23 / 56	25 / 58	0 / 2	1
2	Jesse Lennox	4 / 21	12 / 31	1 / 1	0
2	Mike Pyle	7 / 17	28 / 41	0 / 1	1
3	Jesse Lennox	16 / 49	16 / 49	0 / 0	0
3	Mike Pyle	19 / 49	24 / 54	0 / 2	1

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16

Jesse Lennox

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1