Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alberto Mina won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1364
Mike Pyle
Elo1491

Mike PylevsAlberto MinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · Thursday, July 7, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alberto Mina won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:17

Model Prediction: Alberto Mina wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Alberto Mina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alberto Mina at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alberto Mina is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Mike Pyle has lost 86% of fights by KO.
  • Mike Pyle has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Mike Pyle has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pyle
Red Corner
VS
Alberto Mina
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1364
Elo
1491
50
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PyleL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Aug 14
L
vs Colby Covington · May 15
W
KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16
L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16
L
KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18
latest
Alberto Mina
oldest →
W
KOvs Shinsho Anzai · Aug 14
W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Nov 15
L
vs Ramazan Emeev · May 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PyleMetricAlberto Mina
2.74
Strikes / min
3.23
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.70
60%
Strike defense
47%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
1.85
70%
Takedown defense
50%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1566 vs 1534Strikes23.3 vs 51.5Takedowns1.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.81 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 1.0
Mike PyleAlberto Mina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Mike Pyle(10 fights)Alberto Mina(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -126.9|Blue +126.9
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PyleTargetAlberto Mina

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
12
33% acc · 75%
0
Body
1
33% acc · 6%
2
67% acc · 100%
Leg
3
75% acc · 19%

By position

2
22% acc · 100%
Distance
7
29% acc · 44%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0
Ground
9
47% acc · 56%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Mike Pyle rounds
0
even
2
Alberto Mina rounds
Round 1Alberto Mina edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:35Control
Round 2Alberto Mina edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 12
Sig Strikes
16 / 43
17%
Sig Str %
45.5%
5 / 15
Total Strikes
27 / 57
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
—
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
2:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alberto Mina9 / 3219 / 452 / 20
1Mike Pyle1 / 54 / 80 / 01
2Alberto Mina7 / 118 / 120 / 00
2Mike Pyle1 / 71 / 70 / 00

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16

Alberto Mina

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4