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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pierce won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1356

Elo1358

Mike PiercevsKenny RobertsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Saturday, February 5, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mike Pierce won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:29

Style matchupMike Pierce: WrestlervsKenny Robertson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mike Pierce wins(83.4%)

Actual result: Mike Pierce wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Pierce at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pierce has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Pierce

Red Corner

Kenny Robertson

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1356

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PierceL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12

vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12

KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13

SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13

vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15

latest

Kenny RobertsonL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Thiago Perpetuo · Mar 14

vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 14

KOvs Sultan Aliev · Jan 15

vs Ben Saunders · Jul 15

vs Roan Carneiro · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PierceMetricKenny Robertson

2.62

Strikes / min

3.72

2.36

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

62%

Strike defense

52%

3.08

TDs / 15 min

1.37

71%

Takedown defense

57%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PierceKenny Robertson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Pierce(10 fights)Kenny Robertson(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -47.4|Blue +47.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PierceTargetKenny Robertson

By target zone

45% acc · 79%

Head

14% acc · 25%

100% acc · 16%

Body

69% acc · 75%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

0% acc

By position

35% acc · 32%

Distance

6% acc · 8%

44% acc · 21%

Clinch

61% acc · 92%

82% acc · 47%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Pierce rounds

even

Kenny Robertson rounds

Round 1Mike Pierce edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control3:48

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Mike Pierce edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 37

Sig Strikes

12 / 36

55%

Sig Str %

19%

33 / 51

Total Strikes

24 / 51

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:58

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kenny Robertson	12 / 31	24 / 46	0 / 0	0
1	Mike Pierce	9 / 23	22 / 36	2 / 4	1
2	Kenny Robertson	0 / 5	0 / 5	0 / 0	0
2	Mike Pierce	10 / 14	11 / 15	0 / 0	0

Mike Pierce

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Kenny Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9