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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Perry won · U-DEC R3

Elo1399

Elo1485

Mike PerryvsMickey GallUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · Saturday, June 27, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mike Perry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMike Perry: Pressure fightervsMickey Gall: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Mike Perry wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Mike Perry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Perry at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Perry enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mike Perry has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mike Perry

Red Corner

Mickey Gall

Blue Corner

-315

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1399

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PerryL4 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Oliveira · Apr 19

DECvs Vincente Luque · Aug 19

KOvs Geoff Neal · Dec 19

vs Tim Means · Nov 20

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21

latest

Mickey GallL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PerryMetricMickey Gall

4.32

Strikes / min

3.50

5.16

Strikes absorbed / min

4.72

52%

Strike defense

49%

0.81

TDs / 15 min

1.15

78%

Takedown defense

37%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84evenly matched on net striking-1.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PerryMickey Gall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Perry(10 fights)Mickey Gall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -86.6|Blue +86.6

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PerryTargetMickey Gall

By target zone

50% acc · 64%

Head

44% acc · 71%

70% acc · 18%

Body

89% acc · 15%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

51% acc · 67%

Distance

53% acc · 93%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

76% acc · 25%

Ground

33% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Perry rounds

even

Mickey Gall rounds

Round 1Mike Perry edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:28

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Mike Perry edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control2:05

Knockdowns1

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Mike Perry edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control2:11

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 131

Sig Strikes

55 / 106

60%

Sig Str %

51.3%

103 / 158

Total Strikes

59 / 111

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 6

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:44

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mickey Gall	21 / 40	23 / 42	0 / 0
1	Mike Perry	20 / 51	20 / 51	1 / 1
2	Mickey Gall	12 / 24	12 / 24	0 / 3
2	Mike Perry	26 / 33	41 / 48	0 / 0
3	Mickey Gall	22 / 42	24 / 45	0 / 3
3	Mike Perry	30 / 47	42 / 59	0 / 0

Mike Perry

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13