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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Krzysztof Soszynski won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1490

Mike MassenziovsKrzysztof SoszynskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · Saturday, June 11, 2011Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Krzysztof Soszynski won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMike Massenzio: WrestlervsKrzysztof Soszynski: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Krzysztof Soszynski wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Krzysztof Soszynski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzysztof Soszynski at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Krzysztof Soszynski has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Krzysztof Soszynski has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Massenzio

Red Corner

Krzysztof Soszynski

Blue Corner

+265

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-325

(76%)

1351

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Open Stance

6'2"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike MassenzioL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10

vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11

SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Jan 12

SUBvs Karlos Vemola · May 12

latest

Krzysztof Soszynski

oldest →

KOvs Stephan Bonnar · Jul 10

vs Goran Reljic · Nov 10

KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Dec 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike MassenzioMetricKrzysztof Soszynski

2.08

Strikes / min

3.37

3.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.13

54%

Strike defense

58%

2.74

TDs / 15 min

0.52

50%

Takedown defense

71%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.51Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike MassenzioKrzysztof Soszynski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Massenzio(5 fights)Krzysztof Soszynski(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.7|Blue +138.7

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +104.0|Blue -104.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike MassenzioTargetKrzysztof Soszynski

By target zone

33% acc · 65%

Head

23% acc · 27%

100% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 65%

100% acc · 24%

Leg

83% acc · 8%

By position

43% acc · 94%

Distance

27% acc · 33%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

100% acc · 58%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Massenzio rounds

even

Krzysztof Soszynski rounds

Round 1Mike Massenzio edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control1:31

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Krzysztof Soszynski edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control1:49

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:28Control

Round 3Krzysztof Soszynski edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:23

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 39

Sig Strikes

66 / 126

41.5%

Sig Str %

54%

28 / 51

Total Strikes

112 / 179

2 / 17

TDs

0 / 0

9.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:43

Ctrl Time

5:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Krzysztof Soszynski	11 / 50	19 / 58	0 / 0
1	Mike Massenzio	12 / 23	13 / 25	2 / 7
2	Krzysztof Soszynski	17 / 34	33 / 53	0 / 0
2	Mike Massenzio	5 / 16	15 / 26	0 / 7
3	Krzysztof Soszynski	38 / 42	60 / 68	0 / 0
3	Mike Massenzio	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 3

Mike Massenzio

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Krzysztof Soszynski

StanceOpen Stance

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4