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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Malott won · U-DEC R3

Elo1552

Elo1490

Mike MalottvsTrevin GilesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Mike Malott won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMike Malott: Well-roundedvsTrevin Giles: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Mike Malott wins(72.3%)

Actual result: Mike Malott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Malott at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Malott enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Trevin Giles has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Malott

Red Corner

Trevin Giles

Blue Corner

-375

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1552

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike MalottW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Adam Fugitt · Jun 23

KOvs Neil Magny · Jan 24

KOvs Charles Radtke · May 25

vs Kevin Holland · Oct 25

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Apr 26

latest

Trevin GilesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michael Morales · Jan 22

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike MalottMetricTrevin Giles

4.02

Strikes / min

3.17

3.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

56%

Strike defense

58%

1.63

TDs / 15 min

1.07

57%

Takedown defense

72%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.93evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike MalottTrevin Giles

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Malott(8 fights)Trevin Giles(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +62.1|Blue -62.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike MalottTargetTrevin Giles

By target zone

27% acc · 37%

Head

36% acc · 68%

68% acc · 32%

Body

60% acc · 9%

90% acc · 31%

Leg

89% acc · 24%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Malott rounds

even

Trevin Giles rounds

Round 1Mike Malott edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Mike Malott edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mike Malott edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 130

Sig Strikes

34 / 78

43.7%

Sig Str %

45%

59 / 130

Total Strikes

34 / 78

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Trevin Giles	9 / 16	9 / 16	0 / 0
1	Mike Malott	12 / 37	12 / 37	0 / 0
2	Trevin Giles	17 / 32	17 / 32	0 / 0
2	Mike Malott	28 / 54	28 / 54	0 / 1
3	Trevin Giles	8 / 30	8 / 30	0 / 0
3	Mike Malott	19 / 39	19 / 39	0 / 0

Mike Malott

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14