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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Mason Jones won · U-DEC

Elo1495

Elo1542

Mike DavisvsMason JonesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · Wednesday, January 20, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Mason Jones won

U-DEC

Style matchupMike Davis: WrestlervsMason Jones: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Mike Davis wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Mason Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Davis at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mason Jones enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Davis

Red Corner

Mason Jones

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1495

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike Davis

oldest →

vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Oct 22

SUBvs Natan Levy · Mar 24

vs Fares Ziam · Feb 25

KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 25

DECvs Nurullo Aliev · Jul 26

latest

Mason JonesW3 streak

oldest →

vs David Onama · Oct 21

vs Ludovit Klein · Jul 22

vs Jeremy Stephens · May 25

KOvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 25

vs Axel Sola · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike DavisMetricMason Jones

4.73

Strikes / min

5.98

5.23

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

54%

Strike defense

50%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

3.48

60%

Takedown defense

73%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.50Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike DavisMason Jones

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Davis(8 fights)Mason Jones(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.0|Blue +47.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike DavisTargetMason Jones

By target zone

41% acc · 50%

Head

31% acc · 71%

69% acc · 39%

Body

58% acc · 15%

80% acc · 11%

Leg

94% acc · 14%

By position

51% acc · 90%

Distance

104

36% acc · 89%

57% acc · 7%

Clinch

52% acc · 9%

75% acc · 3%

Ground

29% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Davis rounds

even

Mason Jones rounds

Round 1Mike Davis edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns3

Control0:43

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Mason Jones edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:07

48Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 3Mason Jones edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

108 / 207

Sig Strikes

117 / 313

51.7%

Sig Str %

37.7%

111 / 210

Total Strikes

132 / 329

3 / 9

TDs

1 / 4

20%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:50

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mason Jones	29 / 69	38 / 78	0 / 1
1	Mike Davis	31 / 58	31 / 58	3 / 5
2	Mason Jones	48 / 125	52 / 129	1 / 1
2	Mike Davis	40 / 77	40 / 77	0 / 3
3	Mason Jones	40 / 119	42 / 122	0 / 2
3	Mike Davis	37 / 72	40 / 75	0 / 1

Mike Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Mason Jones

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6