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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Mike Breeden won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1496

Elo1488

Mike BreedenvsAnshul JubliUFC Prediction Result

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Saturday, October 21, 2023Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Mike Breeden won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:00

Style matchupMike Breeden: Pressure fightervsAnshul Jubli: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Anshul Jubli wins(75.9%)

Actual result: Mike Breeden wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anshul Jubli at -258 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Breeden enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Breeden is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Anshul Jubli has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Anshul Jubli is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Mike Breeden has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Anshul Jubli (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mike Breeden

Red Corner

Anshul Jubli

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-258

(72%)

1496

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike BreedenL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 21

vs Natan Levy · Apr 22

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Aug 23

latest

Anshul Jubli

oldest →

KOvs Jeka Saragih · Feb 23

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike BreedenMetricAnshul Jubli

5.75

Strikes / min

6.42

7.28

Strikes absorbed / min

5.72

42%

Strike defense

50%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

0.81

67%

Takedown defense

63%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.53Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap+0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike BreedenAnshul Jubli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Breeden(4 fights)Anshul Jubli(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.8|Blue -8.8

Recent Form

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -189.0|Blue +189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike BreedenTargetAnshul Jubli

By target zone

48% acc · 82%

Head

43% acc · 61%

85% acc · 12%

Body

75% acc · 26%

86% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

51% acc · 97%

Distance

54% acc · 94%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

46% acc · 6%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Breeden rounds

even

Anshul Jubli rounds

Round 1Anshul Jubli edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Anshul Jubli edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:01

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Mike Breeden edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

92 / 177

Sig Strikes

103 / 194

52%

Sig Str %

52.3%

94 / 181

Total Strikes

104 / 195

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 5

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anshul Jubli	44 / 88	44 / 88	0 / 0
1	Mike Breeden	29 / 51	29 / 51	0 / 1
2	Anshul Jubli	48 / 84	49 / 85	0 / 2
2	Mike Breeden	29 / 68	31 / 72	0 / 0
3	Anshul Jubli	11 / 22	11 / 22	0 / 3
3	Mike Breeden	34 / 58	34 / 58	0 / 0

Mike Breeden

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Anshul Jubli

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3