Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Miguel Torres won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1351

Miguel TorresvsNick PaceUFC Prediction Result

UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · Saturday, November 19, 2011San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Miguel Torres won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiguel Torres: Elusive strikervsNick Pace: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Miguel Torres wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Miguel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miguel Torres at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Miguel Torres has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nick Pace has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Miguel Torres has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Miguel Torres

Red Corner

Nick Pace

Blue Corner

-410

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+365

(22%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

193.04 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miguel TorresL2 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Banuelos · Feb 11

vs Demetrious Johnson · May 11

KOvs Michael McDonald · Apr 12

latest

Nick Pace

oldest →

SUBvs Will Campuzano · Dec 10

vs Ivan Menjivar · Aug 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miguel TorresMetricNick Pace

3.98

Strikes / min

1.48

1.86

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

74%

Strike defense

57%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.52

17%

Takedown defense

54%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.12Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap-1.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miguel TorresNick Pace

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miguel Torres(4 fights)Nick Pace(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.0|Blue -139.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miguel TorresTargetNick Pace

By target zone

30% acc · 36%

Head

18% acc · 23%

95% acc · 31%

Body

78% acc · 45%

88% acc · 33%

Leg

91% acc · 32%

By position

41% acc · 64%

Distance

33% acc · 55%

100% acc · 36%

Clinch

87% acc · 42%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miguel Torres rounds

even

Nick Pace rounds

Round 1Miguel Torres edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 2Miguel Torres edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:45

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 3Miguel Torres edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:38

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 122

Sig Strikes

31 / 69

52.3%

Sig Str %

44.7%

150 / 212

Total Strikes

41 / 79

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:23

Ctrl Time

3:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nick Pace	16 / 33	22 / 39	0 / 2
1	Miguel Torres	22 / 44	33 / 56	0 / 1
2	Nick Pace	7 / 14	11 / 18	1 / 1
2	Miguel Torres	20 / 36	73 / 92	0 / 0
3	Nick Pace	8 / 22	8 / 22	0 / 0
3	Miguel Torres	22 / 42	44 / 64	0 / 0

Miguel Torres

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Nick Pace

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3