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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Demetrious Johnson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1491

Miguel TorresvsDemetrious JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · Saturday, May 28, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Demetrious Johnson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiguel Torres: Elusive strikervsDemetrious Johnson: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Miguel Torres wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miguel Torres at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Demetrious Johnson has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Miguel Torres has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Miguel Torres

Red Corner

Demetrious Johnson

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1490

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miguel Torres

oldest →

vs Antonio Banuelos · Feb 11

vs Nick Pace · Nov 11

KOvs Michael McDonald · Apr 12

latest

Demetrious Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16

vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16

SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17

SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17

vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miguel TorresMetricDemetrious Johnson

3.98

Strikes / min

3.43

1.86

Strikes absorbed / min

1.66

74%

Strike defense

67%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.35

17%

Takedown defense

65%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.12evenly matched on net striking+1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miguel TorresDemetrious Johnson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miguel Torres(4 fights)Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miguel TorresTargetDemetrious Johnson

By target zone

30% acc · 30%

Head

22% acc · 15%

88% acc · 70%

Body

75% acc · 46%

0% acc

Leg

83% acc · 38%

By position

13% acc · 10%

Distance

50% acc · 69%

89% acc · 80%

Clinch

80% acc · 31%

50% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miguel Torres rounds

even

Demetrious Johnson rounds

Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control2:32

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:38Control

Round 2Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:17

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:13Control

Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control1:45

3Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 19

Sig Strikes

13 / 23

48.3%

Sig Str %

55.7%

95 / 115

Total Strikes

63 / 92

0 / 1

TDs

5 / 5

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:34

Ctrl Time

8:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Demetrious Johnson	5 / 8	27 / 35	1 / 1	0
1	Miguel Torres	4 / 8	26 / 32	0 / 1	0
2	Demetrious Johnson	5 / 9	20 / 33	2 / 2	0
2	Miguel Torres	5 / 8	48 / 56	0 / 0	1
3	Demetrious Johnson	3 / 6	16 / 24	2 / 2	0
3	Miguel Torres	1 / 3	21 / 27	0 / 0	2

Miguel Torres

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Demetrious Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17