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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Miguel Torres won · U-DEC R3
Elo1490
Elo1490

Miguel TorresvsAntonio BanuelosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Saturday, February 5, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Miguel Torres won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiguel Torres: Elusive strikervsAntonio Banuelos: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Miguel Torres wins(54.8%)

Actual result: Miguel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miguel Torres at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Miguel Torres has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Antonio Banuelos has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Miguel Torres has a 33cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Miguel Torres
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Banuelos
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
1490
Elo
1490
45
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miguel Torres
oldest →
L
vs Demetrious Johnson · May 11
W
vs Nick Pace · Nov 11
L
KOvs Michael McDonald · Apr 12
latest
Antonio BanuelosNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miguel TorresMetricAntonio Banuelos
3.98
Strikes / min
2.69
1.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
74%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.62
17%
Takedown defense
86%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.12Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-0.46
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Miguel Torres(4 fights)Antonio Banuelos(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miguel TorresTargetAntonio Banuelos

By target zone

61
35% acc · 84%
Head
9
8% acc · 90%
5
83% acc · 7%
Body
0
0% acc
7
100% acc · 10%
Leg
1
20% acc · 10%

By position

72
39% acc · 99%
Distance
8
6% acc · 80%
1
25% acc · 1%
Clinch
2
22% acc · 20%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Miguel Torres rounds
0
even
0
Antonio Banuelos rounds
Round 1Miguel Torres edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Miguel Torres edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Miguel Torres edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
73 / 188
Sig Strikes
10 / 135
39.3%
Sig Str %
7%
73 / 188
Total Strikes
10 / 135
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Antonio Banuelos2 / 272 / 270 / 00
1Miguel Torres20 / 4320 / 430 / 00
2Antonio Banuelos3 / 493 / 490 / 00
2Miguel Torres25 / 7125 / 710 / 00
3Antonio Banuelos5 / 595 / 590 / 00
3Miguel Torres28 / 7428 / 740 / 00

Miguel Torres

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4

Antonio Banuelos

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights1