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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Miesha Tate won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1428

Miesha TatevsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Miesha Tate won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiesha Tate: Submission grapplervsJessica Eye: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Miesha Tate wins(63.3%)

Actual result: Miesha Tate wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miesha Tate at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Miesha Tate

Red Corner

Jessica Eye

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1495

Elo

1428

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miesha Tate

oldest →

KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22

SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23

vs Yana Santos · May 25

latest

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miesha TateMetricJessica Eye

2.62

Strikes / min

3.86

3.05

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

51%

Strike defense

55%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

0.58

56%

Takedown defense

57%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miesha TateJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miesha Tate(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +66.7|Blue -66.7

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -2.3|Blue +2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miesha TateTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

38% acc · 66%

Head

31% acc · 68%

88% acc · 26%

Body

50% acc · 4%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

89% acc · 29%

By position

38% acc · 62%

Distance

37% acc · 86%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 14%

87% acc · 34%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miesha Tate rounds

even

Jessica Eye rounds

Round 1Miesha Tate edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control1:31

Knockdowns1

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Miesha Tate edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control2:43

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:54

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 122

Sig Strikes

56 / 143

47%

Sig Str %

37.7%

84 / 148

Total Strikes

81 / 168

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:08

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessica Eye	19 / 53	30 / 64	0 / 0	0
1	Miesha Tate	23 / 46	33 / 56	0 / 2	0
2	Jessica Eye	11 / 33	24 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	Miesha Tate	20 / 38	28 / 46	0 / 0	2
3	Jessica Eye	26 / 57	27 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Miesha Tate	15 / 38	23 / 46	1 / 2	0

Miesha Tate

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15