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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cat Zingano won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1495

Elo1491

Miesha TatevsCat ZinganoUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cat Zingano won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:55

Style matchupMiesha Tate: Submission grapplervsCat Zingano: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Cat Zingano wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Cat Zingano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cat Zingano at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Miesha Tate

Red Corner

Cat Zingano

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1495

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miesha Tate

oldest →

KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22

SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23

vs Yana Santos · May 25

latest

Cat Zingano

oldest →

SUBvs Ronda Rousey · Feb 15

vs Julianna Pena · Jul 16

vs Ketlen Vieira · Mar 18

vs Marion Reneau · Jul 18

KOvs Megan Anderson · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miesha TateMetricCat Zingano

2.62

Strikes / min

2.57

3.05

Strikes absorbed / min

1.63

51%

Strike defense

47%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

2.77

56%

Takedown defense

42%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.43Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.94

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miesha Tate(10 fights)Cat Zingano(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.8|Blue -3.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miesha TateTargetCat Zingano

By target zone

53% acc · 91%

Head

77% acc · 66%

100% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 23%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

53% acc · 70%

Distance

73% acc · 46%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

89% acc · 23%

63% acc · 22%

Ground

100% acc · 31%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miesha Tate rounds

even

Cat Zingano rounds

Round 1Miesha Tate edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control2:56

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Cat Zingano edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:02

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Round 3Cat Zingano edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 42

Sig Strikes

35 / 42

51.7%

Sig Str %

84.3%

54 / 80

Total Strikes

107 / 120

3 / 7

TDs

1 / 1

45%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:58

Ctrl Time

5:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cat Zingano	12 / 17	18 / 24	0 / 0	1
1	Miesha Tate	19 / 34	33 / 49	2 / 5	0
2	Cat Zingano	13 / 13	29 / 33	0 / 0	0
2	Miesha Tate	3 / 6	19 / 28	1 / 2	3
3	Cat Zingano	10 / 12	60 / 63	1 / 1	0
3	Miesha Tate	1 / 2	2 / 3	0 / 0	0

Miesha Tate

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14

Cat Zingano

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7