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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ramiz Brahimaj won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1485

Elo1512

Mickey GallvsRamiz BrahimajUFC Prediction Result

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Saturday, November 16, 2024New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Ramiz Brahimaj won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:55

Style matchupMickey Gall: Submission grapplervsRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grappler

Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.

Model Prediction: Mickey Gall wins(63.3%)

Actual result: Ramiz Brahimaj wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mickey Gall at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mickey Gall

Red Corner

Ramiz Brahimaj

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+142

(41%)

1485

Elo

1512

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mickey GallL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Perry · Jun 20

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

latest

Ramiz Brahimaj

oldest →

SUBvs Micheal Gillmore · Feb 22

vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24

SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25

SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mickey GallMetricRamiz Brahimaj

3.50

Strikes / min

2.29

4.72

Strikes absorbed / min

3.27

49%

Strike defense

47%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

1.99

37%

Takedown defense

44%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22evenly matched on net striking-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mickey GallRamiz Brahimaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mickey Gall(10 fights)Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.3|Blue +26.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mickey GallTargetRamiz Brahimaj

By target zone

66% acc · 89%

Head

54% acc · 87%

100% acc · 11%

Body

33% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

67% acc · 93%

Distance

51% acc · 71%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

67% acc · 19%

Ground

75% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mickey Gall rounds

even

Ramiz Brahimaj rounds

Round 1Ramiz Brahimaj edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 41

Sig Strikes

31 / 56

68%

Sig Str %

55%

30 / 43

Total Strikes

31 / 56

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ramiz Brahimaj	31 / 56	31 / 56	0 / 0	0
1	Mickey Gall	28 / 41	30 / 43	0 / 0	0

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9