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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Malott won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1485

Elo1552

Mickey GallvsMike MalottUFC Prediction Result

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, April 9, 2022Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Mike Malott won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:41

Style matchupMickey Gall: Submission grapplervsMike Malott: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Mike Malott wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Mike Malott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Malott at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Malott enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mike Malott has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mickey Gall

Red Corner

Mike Malott

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1485

Elo

1552

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mickey GallL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Perry · Jun 20

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Mike MalottW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Neil Magny · Jan 24

vs Trevin Giles · Nov 24

KOvs Charles Radtke · May 25

vs Kevin Holland · Oct 25

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mickey GallMetricMike Malott

3.50

Strikes / min

4.02

4.72

Strikes absorbed / min

3.09

49%

Strike defense

56%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

1.63

37%

Takedown defense

57%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+0.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mickey GallMike Malott

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mickey Gall(10 fights)Mike Malott(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -66.3|Blue +66.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mickey GallTargetMike Malott

By target zone

45% acc · 100%

Head

57% acc · 75%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

41% acc · 92%

Distance

57% acc · 75%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mickey Gall rounds

even

Mike Malott rounds

Round 1Mike Malott edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:17

Knockdowns0

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 30

Sig Strikes

28 / 44

43%

Sig Str %

63%

14 / 31

Total Strikes

29 / 45

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Malott	28 / 44	29 / 45	0 / 0	0
1	Mickey Gall	13 / 30	14 / 31	1 / 1	0

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Mike Malott

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7