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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mickey Gall won · SUB R1

Elo1485

Elo1496

Mickey GallvsMike JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mickey Gall won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:45

Style matchupMickey Gall: Submission grapplervsMike Jackson: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Mike Jackson wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Mickey Gall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Jackson at +450 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mickey Gall threatens submissions; Mike Jackson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Mike Jackson has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Mike Jackson has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mickey Gall

Red Corner

Mike Jackson

Blue Corner

-525

(84%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1485

Elo

1496

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mickey GallL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Mike Jackson

oldest →

vs CM Punk · Jun 18

vs Dean Barry · Apr 22

KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mickey GallMetricMike Jackson

3.50

Strikes / min

4.49

4.72

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

49%

Strike defense

62%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

0.71

37%

Takedown defense

88%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+0.76

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mickey Gall(10 fights)Mike Jackson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.2|Blue +10.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mickey GallTargetMike Jackson

By target zone

50% acc · 100%

Head

60% acc · 100%

Body

0% acc

Leg

By position

33% acc · 50%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mickey Gall rounds

even

Mike Jackson rounds

Round 1Mickey Gall edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 4

Sig Strikes

3 / 6

50%

Sig Str %

50%

3 / 5

Total Strikes

3 / 6

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Jackson	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Mickey Gall	2 / 4	3 / 5	0 / 0	1

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Mike Jackson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4