← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mickey Gall won · SUB R1

Elo1485

Elo1410

Mickey GallvsJordan WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, July 24, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mickey Gall won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:57

Style matchupMickey Gall: Submission grapplervsJordan Williams: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Mickey Gall wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Mickey Gall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mickey Gall at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Mickey Gall threatens submissions; Jordan Williams has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Mickey Gall has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Williams has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Mickey Gall

Red Corner

Jordan Williams

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1485

Elo

1410

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mickey GallL5 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Perry · Jun 20

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Jordan WilliamsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nassourdine Imavov · Oct 20

KOvs Ian Garry · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mickey GallMetricJordan Williams

3.50

Strikes / min

5.83

4.72

Strikes absorbed / min

5.46

49%

Strike defense

35%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

1.11

37%

Takedown defense

85%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mickey GallJordan Williams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mickey Gall(10 fights)Jordan Williams(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +75.1|Blue -75.1

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mickey GallTargetJordan Williams

By target zone

53% acc · 82%

Head

24% acc · 54%

100% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 8%

50% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 38%

By position

50% acc · 82%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

100% acc · 18%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mickey Gall rounds

even

Jordan Williams rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:58

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 20

Sig Strikes

13 / 35

55%

Sig Str %

37%

11 / 20

Total Strikes

13 / 35

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:58

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jordan Williams	13 / 35	13 / 35	1 / 1	0
1	Mickey Gall	11 / 20	11 / 20	1 / 2	2

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Jordan Williams

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights3