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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Bassil Hafez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1493

Mickey GallvsBassil HafezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Saturday, June 1, 2024Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Bassil Hafez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMickey Gall: Submission grapplervsBassil Hafez: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Bassil Hafez wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Bassil Hafez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mickey Gall

Red Corner

Bassil Hafez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1485

Elo

1493

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mickey GallL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Perry · Jun 20

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Bassil HafezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jack Della Maddalena · Jul 23

KOvs Oban Elliott · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mickey GallMetricBassil Hafez

3.50

Strikes / min

3.71

4.72

Strikes absorbed / min

5.68

49%

Strike defense

41%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

2.21

37%

Takedown defense

50%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22evenly matched on net striking-1.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mickey GallBassil Hafez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mickey Gall(10 fights)Bassil Hafez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.1|Blue +8.1

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +462.0|Blue -462.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mickey GallTargetBassil Hafez

By target zone

56% acc · 84%

Head

44% acc · 87%

76% acc · 16%

Body

78% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

57% acc · 94%

Distance

47% acc · 96%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

25% acc · 1%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mickey Gall rounds

even

Bassil Hafez rounds

Round 1Bassil Hafez edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Bassil Hafez edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control0:06

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 3Bassil Hafez edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:02

35Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

83 / 143

Sig Strikes

95 / 201

58%

Sig Str %

47%

93 / 153

Total Strikes

101 / 210

1 / 2

TDs

3 / 5

50%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

1:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bassil Hafez	29 / 63	29 / 63	0 / 0
1	Mickey Gall	24 / 47	24 / 47	0 / 0
2	Bassil Hafez	31 / 67	34 / 71	1 / 1
2	Mickey Gall	26 / 40	26 / 40	1 / 1
3	Bassil Hafez	35 / 71	38 / 76	2 / 4
3	Mickey Gall	33 / 56	43 / 66	0 / 1

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Bassil Hafez

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3