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Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Michelle Waterson won · S-DEC
Elo1493
Elo1506
Angela Hill

Michelle WatersonvsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Saturday, September 12, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Michelle Waterson won

S-DEC

Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Michelle Waterson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michelle Waterson at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Michelle Waterson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Michelle Waterson
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1493
Elo
1506
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michelle WatersonL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Felice Herrig · Oct 18
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19
L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19
L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20
L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21
latest
Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michelle WatersonMetricAngela Hill
—
Strikes / min
5.37
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.75
—
Takedown defense
72%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1498Strikes3.3 vs 5.8Takedowns1.7 vs 0.5Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.20Form-0.4 vs 0.2
Michelle WatersonAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Michelle Waterson(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.5|Blue +12.5
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Michelle Waterson

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30