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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Michel Prazeres won · U-DEC R3

Elo1403

Elo1492

Michel PrazeresvsMairbek TaisumovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · Sunday, March 23, 2014Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

Official fight result

Michel Prazeres won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichel Prazeres: WrestlervsMairbek Taisumov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mairbek Taisumov wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mairbek Taisumov at -315 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mairbek Taisumov has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Mairbek Taisumov has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Michel Prazeres

Red Corner

Mairbek Taisumov

Blue Corner

+285

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-315

(76%)

1403

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michel PrazeresL2 streak

oldest →

vs Desmond Green · Feb 18

vs Zak Cummings · May 18

SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19

SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21

latest

Mairbek Taisumov

oldest →

KOvs Alan Patrick · Jun 15

KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Apr 16

KOvs Felipe Silva · Sep 17

vs Desmond Green · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Sep 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michel PrazeresMetricMairbek Taisumov

2.38

Strikes / min

2.98

2.51

Strikes absorbed / min

3.03

57%

Strike defense

64%

3.94

TDs / 15 min

1.34

47%

Takedown defense

88%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michel PrazeresMairbek Taisumov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michel Prazeres(10 fights)Mairbek Taisumov(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -88.6|Blue +88.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michel PrazeresTargetMairbek Taisumov

By target zone

45% acc · 74%

Head

20% acc · 62%

100% acc · 11%

Body

75% acc · 23%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

45% acc · 69%

Distance

28% acc · 88%

71% acc · 14%

Clinch

60% acc · 12%

86% acc · 17%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michel Prazeres rounds

even

Mairbek Taisumov rounds

Round 1Michel Prazeres edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control3:23

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Michel Prazeres edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:27

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 67

Sig Strikes

26 / 91

54.3%

Sig Str %

25.3%

66 / 106

Total Strikes

40 / 106

3 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

22%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:00

Ctrl Time

1:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mairbek Taisumov	1 / 5	14 / 19	0 / 0
1	Michel Prazeres	11 / 15	32 / 44	2 / 4
2	Mairbek Taisumov	9 / 37	10 / 38	0 / 0
2	Michel Prazeres	15 / 29	17 / 31	0 / 1
3	Mairbek Taisumov	16 / 49	16 / 49	0 / 0
3	Michel Prazeres	9 / 23	17 / 31	1 / 6

Michel Prazeres

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights14

Mairbek Taisumov

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9