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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Abus Magomedov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1528

Michel PereiravsAbus MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Abus Magomedov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichel Pereira: Pressure fightervsAbus Magomedov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Michel Pereira wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Abus Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michel Pereira at -142 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Abus Magomedov has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Abus Magomedov has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Michel Pereira

Red Corner

Abus Magomedov

Blue Corner

-142

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1492

Elo

1528

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michel Pereira

oldest →

SUBvs Ihor Potieria · May 24

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24

KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25

vs Zach Reese · Feb 26

DECvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 26

latest

Abus Magomedov

oldest →

vs Caio Borralho · Nov 23

vs Warlley Alves · May 24

SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Oct 24

SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 25

SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michel PereiraMetricAbus Magomedov

4.46

Strikes / min

3.07

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

51%

Strike defense

55%

1.21

TDs / 15 min

2.61

75%

Takedown defense

100%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michel PereiraAbus Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michel Pereira(10 fights)Abus Magomedov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -36.0|Blue +36.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michel PereiraTargetAbus Magomedov

By target zone

30% acc · 37%

Head

54% acc · 68%

54% acc · 37%

Body

66% acc · 24%

68% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

43% acc · 99%

Distance

56% acc · 92%

50% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michel Pereira rounds

even

Abus Magomedov rounds

Round 1Abus Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:11

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 3Michel Pereira edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:13

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 168

Sig Strikes

78 / 134

41%

Sig Str %

57.7%

74 / 169

Total Strikes

83 / 140

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

1:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abus Magomedov	18 / 31	23 / 37	1 / 1
1	Michel Pereira	7 / 20	7 / 20	0 / 0
2	Abus Magomedov	24 / 46	24 / 46	0 / 1
2	Michel Pereira	25 / 58	26 / 59	0 / 0
3	Abus Magomedov	36 / 57	36 / 57	0 / 2
3	Michel Pereira	41 / 90	41 / 90	0 / 0

Michel Pereira

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16

Abus Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights8