Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marc-Andre Barriault has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michal Oleksiejczuk
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25L
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26 Marc-Andre Barriault
oldest →L
vs Chris Curtis · Jan 24L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michal OleksiejczukMetricMarc-Andre Barriault
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.35Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michal OleksiejczukMarc-Andre Barriault
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +30.1|Blue -30.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michal OleksiejczukTargetMarc-Andre Barriault
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds
0
Marc-Andre Barriault rounds
Round 1Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns1
Control0:08
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it
Sig. strikes52
Takedowns0
Control0:22
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
