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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Michael Trizano won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1496

Elo1487

Michael TrizanovsSeungWoo ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Saturday, November 12, 2022New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Michael Trizano won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:51

Style matchupMichael Trizano: Well-roundedvsSeungWoo Choi: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Michael Trizano wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Michael Trizano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Trizano at +160 American odds

+$160 profit

$260 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Michael Trizano

Red Corner

SeungWoo Choi

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1496

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael TrizanoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Luis Pena · Nov 18

SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 19

vs Ludovit Klein · May 21

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Feb 22

KOvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 22

latest

SeungWoo ChoiL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Oct 21

vs Josh Culibao · Jun 22

vs Jarno Errens · Aug 23

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jul 24

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael TrizanoMetricSeungWoo Choi

3.63

Strikes / min

3.56

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.16

50%

Strike defense

47%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.83

72%

Takedown defense

70%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.77Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael TrizanoSeungWoo Choi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Trizano(7 fights)SeungWoo Choi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.1|Blue -9.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael TrizanoTargetSeungWoo Choi

By target zone

57% acc · 88%

Head

31% acc · 73%

100% acc · 6%

Body

43% acc · 12%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

80% acc · 15%

By position

53% acc · 66%

Distance

36% acc · 96%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

83% acc · 31%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Trizano rounds

even

SeungWoo Choi rounds

Round 1Michael Trizano edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns2

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 53

Sig Strikes

26 / 73

60%

Sig Str %

35%

34 / 55

Total Strikes

26 / 74

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	SeungWoo Choi	26 / 73	26 / 74	0 / 1	0
1	Michael Trizano	32 / 53	34 / 55	0 / 0	0

Michael Trizano

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

SeungWoo Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8