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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Myles Jury won · U-DEC R3

Elo1502

Elo1371

Michael JohnsonvsMyles JuryUFC Prediction Result

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · Saturday, December 29, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Myles Jury won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsMyles Jury: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Michael Johnson wins(72.3%)

Actual result: Myles Jury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Johnson at -255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Michael Johnson has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Michael Johnson

Red Corner

Myles Jury

Blue Corner

-255

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1502

Elo

1371

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23

vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24

KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25

KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26

latest

Myles JuryL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15

KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17

vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17

KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18

vs Andre Fili · Feb 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael JohnsonMetricMyles Jury

4.27

Strikes / min

2.94

3.78

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

58%

Strike defense

66%

0.57

TDs / 15 min

2.16

81%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael JohnsonMyles Jury

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Johnson(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.7|Blue -131.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael JohnsonTargetMyles Jury

By target zone

7% acc · 33%

Head

43% acc · 86%

17% acc · 17%

Body

0% acc

43% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

13% acc · 83%

Distance

23% acc · 18%

100% acc · 17%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

59% acc · 79%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Johnson rounds

even

Myles Jury rounds

Round 1Myles Jury edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:17Control

Round 2Myles Jury edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 3Myles Jury edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 41

Sig Strikes

56 / 121

14.3%

Sig Str %

48%

10 / 45

Total Strikes

125 / 209

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 6

—

TD %

61%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

10:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Myles Jury	26 / 53	42 / 79	1 / 1	1
1	Michael Johnson	2 / 18	3 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Myles Jury	12 / 41	27 / 57	1 / 2	0
2	Michael Johnson	3 / 16	6 / 19	0 / 0	0
3	Myles Jury	18 / 27	56 / 73	1 / 3	0
3	Michael Johnson	1 / 7	1 / 7	0 / 0	0

Michael Johnson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights32

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12