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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Beneil Dariush won · S-DEC R3

Elo1502

Elo1480

Michael JohnsonvsBeneil DariushUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · Saturday, August 8, 2015Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Beneil Dariush won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Michael Johnson wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Beneil Dariush wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Johnson at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Michael Johnson

Red Corner

Beneil Dariush

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1502

Elo

1480

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23

vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24

KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25

KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26

latest

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael JohnsonMetricBeneil Dariush

4.27

Strikes / min

3.74

3.78

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

58%

Strike defense

57%

0.57

TDs / 15 min

2.21

81%

Takedown defense

82%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael JohnsonBeneil Dariush

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Johnson(10 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.1|Blue -22.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +55.0|Blue -55.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael JohnsonTargetBeneil Dariush

By target zone

24% acc · 38%

Head

31% acc · 69%

58% acc · 58%

Body

57% acc · 16%

75% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

38% acc · 99%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Johnson rounds

even

Beneil Dariush rounds

Round 1Michael Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Michael Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 222

Sig Strikes

75 / 201

37%

Sig Str %

36.7%

85 / 223

Total Strikes

75 / 201

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 7

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Beneil Dariush	20 / 57	20 / 57	0 / 2
1	Michael Johnson	24 / 73	24 / 73	0 / 0
2	Beneil Dariush	22 / 62	22 / 62	0 / 4
2	Michael Johnson	35 / 80	35 / 80	0 / 0
3	Beneil Dariush	33 / 82	33 / 82	0 / 1
3	Michael Johnson	25 / 69	26 / 70	0 / 0

Michael Johnson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights32

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24