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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Michael Johnson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1502

Elo1368

Michael JohnsonvsArtem LobovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Michael Johnson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsArtem Lobov: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Michael Johnson wins(59.8%)

Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Johnson at -700 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Michael Johnson has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Michael Johnson has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Johnson

Red Corner

Artem Lobov

Blue Corner

-700

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+500

(17%)

1502

Elo

1368

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23

vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24

KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25

KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26

latest

Artem LobovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alex White · Feb 16

vs Chris Avila · Aug 16

vs Teruto Ishihara · Nov 16

vs Cub Swanson · Apr 17

vs Andre Fili · Oct 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael JohnsonMetricArtem Lobov

4.27

Strikes / min

3.52

3.78

Strikes absorbed / min

4.82

58%

Strike defense

50%

0.57

TDs / 15 min

0.39

81%

Takedown defense

52%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Michael JohnsonArtem Lobov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Michael Johnson(10 fights)Artem Lobov(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.1|Blue -134.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -308.0|Blue +308.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Michael JohnsonTargetArtem Lobov

By target zone

31% acc · 46%

Head

21% acc · 43%

69% acc · 35%

Body

67% acc · 18%

86% acc · 18%

Leg

87% acc · 39%

By position

45% acc · 99%

Distance

35% acc · 99%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Michael Johnson rounds

even

Artem Lobov rounds

Round 1Michael Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Michael Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Michael Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control0:39

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

99 / 219

Sig Strikes

67 / 189

45%

Sig Str %

34.7%

101 / 222

Total Strikes

67 / 189

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Artem Lobov	22 / 56	22 / 56	0 / 0
1	Michael Johnson	26 / 54	26 / 54	0 / 0
2	Artem Lobov	31 / 71	31 / 71	0 / 0
2	Michael Johnson	42 / 91	42 / 91	0 / 0
3	Artem Lobov	14 / 62	14 / 62	0 / 0
3	Michael Johnson	31 / 74	33 / 77	1 / 1

Michael Johnson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights32

Artem Lobov

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7